Crown Green HandicapFairPlay Bowls
Live
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Back to Players
Crown Green Handicap

Stuart Holmes

Team: St.Mary's BDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

711

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

38

Matches Played

6

Wins

32

Losses

16%

Win Rate

2.7

Avg Win Margin

10.2

Avg Loss Margin

4-14

Home Record

2-18

Away Record

50%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
24 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/1/2026

Only 24 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Boosted by the Division 1 confidence floor rule.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player5/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 38 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

11 Apr13 Jun8 Aug11 Jun3 Jun12 Aug28 Apr1 Sept-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
13%
score-0.75→contribution-0.30
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
3.0
score-0.83→contribution-0.21
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.1
score-0.35→contribution-0.05
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
10%
score-0.80→contribution-0.08
Opponent Strength(10%)
876
score-0.90→contribution-0.09
Weighted Score-0.731
Sample Size Confidence
50%(24/41 matches) · floored
Rating781 → shrunk 891→ adjusted 735
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)660
Recency Blend32% (24 recent matches)
Final Rating711
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

6W32L38 matches·15.8% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
St Mary's (Billinge) B2022–2025Division 2, Division 1, Division 33162519.4%
St.Mary's B2026Division 27070%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/1/2026Ian GerrardH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
8/18/2026Ged FinneyA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
7/14/2026John RyanH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
6/9/2026Chris NicholH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 2
5/19/2026Ron ModiakA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
4/28/2026Jimmy NolanH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
4/21/2026Jason WalshA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
9/2/2025Nick BatesH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 2
8/27/2025Andy TurnerH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
8/26/2025Alex WallaceA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
8/12/2025Ged FinneyH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
7/1/2025Ken LethbridgeH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
6/24/2025Mike OxleyA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
6/17/2025Andrew ValentineH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
6/10/2025John LesterH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
6/3/2025James HopkinsA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
4/8/2025Wayne RobinsonA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 2
8/6/2024Alan DoolanA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
7/16/2024Chris PriceA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
6/25/2024David UnsworthA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
6/11/2024Stuart HodsonH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
6/4/2024Lance FletcherA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
5/28/2024Steve DugganH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
5/21/2024Ian PalmerA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
8/29/2023Mal PerksA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
8/8/2023David BrandA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
8/1/2023John CooperH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
7/25/2023Ian TraverseA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 2
7/11/2023Roy PearceA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
6/20/2023Neil FitzsimonH2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 2
6/13/2023Darren EllisH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
5/16/2023Gordon LoweH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
5/9/2023Fred AndertonA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 2
4/25/2023Ron VizardA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
4/18/2023Gordon ParrH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
4/11/2023B MurphyA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
6/14/2022Darren EllisH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 3
5/25/2022Les TeelingA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

9losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

9

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 1010% win rate— steady
LLLLLLLLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ged Finney0220%8/18/2026
Darren Ellis0220%6/13/2023
Ian Gerrard0110%9/1/2026
John Ryan0110%7/14/2026
Chris Nichol0110%6/9/2026
Ron Modiak0110%5/19/2026
Jimmy Nolan0110%4/28/2026
Jason Walsh0110%4/21/2026
Nick Bates0110%9/2/2025
Andy Turner0110%8/27/2025
Biggest Win
Andrew Valentine (+6)6/17/2025
Heaviest Defeat
Neil Fitzsimon (-19)6/20/2023
Best Season
202325% · 12 matches
Worst Season
202520% · 10 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
21% → 11%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
85238 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-40% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
6-2818% win rate

By Division

Division 25-24 (17%)
Division 11-6 (14%)
Division 30-2 (0%)
Division 114.3%
1W·6L·7 played
Division 217.2%
5W·24L·29 played
Division 30%
0W·2L·2 played

Debut

May 25, 2022

Latest

Sep 1, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

7.6 (38 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026